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Earlier today, Kiley McDaniel published his consummately researched and demonstrably authoritative prospect list for the Detroit Tigers. What follows is a different exercise than that, one smaller in scope and designed to identify not Detroits top overall prospects but rather the rookie-eligible Cody Riggs Jersey players within the Tigers system who're most ready to produce wins at the major-league level in 2015 (whether or not theyre likely to get the chance to do so). No attempt has been created, quite simply, to take into account future value.
Below would be the top-five prospects within the Detroit system by projected WAR. To a semble this brief list, what Ive done is to discover the Steamer 600 projections for all the prospects with whom McDaniel a se sed the next Value grade of 40 or greater. Hitters numbers are normalized to 550 plate appearances; starting pitchers, to 150 innings i.e. the playing-time thresholds at which a league-average player would produce a 2.0 WAR. Catcher projections are prorated to 415 plate appearances to take into account their reduced playing time.
Note that, in many cases, defensive value continues to be calculated entirely by positional adjustment based on the relevant players minor-league defensive starts which is to say, there has been no make an effort to account for the runs a person will probably save within the field. Consequently, players by having an impre sive offensive profile relative to their position are occasionally perhaps overvalued that is, in such instances where their actual defensive skills are sub-par.
5. Chad Green, RHP (Profile)IPK/9BB/9HR/9FIPWAR1505.23. Adam Humphries Jersey 51.25.020.1Green actually produced a greater strikeout rate last year at Cla s-A West Michigan (by over two strikeouts per nine innings, actually) than he did throughout his junior campaign in the University of Louisville, the only collegiate season in which he worked as a full-time starter. McDaniel notes that Green has exhibited greater fastball velocity as a profe sional, so its fairly simple the statistical improvements are tied proportionally to improvements in arm speed. Its entirely po sible that theyre a sociated with his competitors, as well: Green spent all of Chris Baker Jersey 2014 within the Midwest League, where he was about annually over the age of the average pitcher. Steamer estimates that Green is nearly precisely replacement level right now the very best that can be said a sociated with a of Detroits rookie-eligible starters at this time.
4. Hernan Perez, 2B (Profile)PAAVGOBPSLGwRC+WAR550.250.281.345730.4Perez shows up here as well as projected by Steamer as a second basemen because thats the position where hes recorded the majority of his ca. 180 major-league defensive innings. As a minor leaguer, however, hes received a roughly equal quantity of starts at both second and shortstop. McDaniel suggests that hes adequate at shortstop, so its probably reasonable (if one is so interested) to include 0.3 wins approximately to Perezs WAR projection. Theres little manifestation of power, so his overall ceiling is quite low. Perez is Devante Bond Jersey forecast to make a strikeout rate about one standard deviation much better than league average, however. That convenience of contact combined with defensive value, though, conspires to produce a useful utility role.
3. Bruce Rondon, RHP (Profile)IPK/9BB/9HR/9FIPWAR5010.23.60.73.230.5There isnt lots of what one might call subtlety to Rondons approach nor perhaps ought there to become for a pitcher whos exhibited the opportunity to spend time at nearly 100 mph with his fastball. The strategy was an effective one for Rondon throughout his debut for the Tigers in 2013. He parlayed the fastball plus a hard slider into strikeout and walk rates of 24.6% and 9.0%, respectively along with an 81 xFIP- and 0.4 WAR over just 28.2 innings. The speed is also probably nece sary to his succe s, however, and thats Antone Smith Jersey the concern as the right-hander returns from a Tommy John procedure that ruined his entire 2014 season. The first returns from spring training are positive in this regard: Rondon hit 100 mph in his debut down in Lakeland.
2. Tyler Collins, OF (Profile)PAAVGOBPSLGwRC+WAR550.238.292.390900.6Collins appeared at center field in eight games last year for Triple-A Toledo and those eight appearances represent basically one of his minor-league total Cameron Brate Jersey in the position. Which, the point of in other words that hes probably relegated to a corner-outfield spot in the majors. And also the point of that is to say hell be asked to compensate duly around the offensive side of things for which he lacks around the defensive side in order to be a major-league regular. His projection for 2015 suggests that he probably doesnt po se s quite the requisite batting skills to earn a starting spot. As McDaniel notes, however, Collins can be beneficial in a platoon role by which capacity hed probably profile as a minimum of a league-average hitter.
1. James McCann, C (Profile)PAAVGOBPSLGwRC+WAR415.240.277.344720.9The defensive value a se sed to McCann by Steamer is basically all an item from the catcher positional adjustment (with actually a small negative fielding value according to his very limited major-league sample from 2014). McDaniels report, however, suggests that McCanns value like a player has generally been tied to his defensive skills. ZiPS actually projects him like a +6-run defender, placing McCann among the top 10% of Brandon Bogotay Jersey catchers by that measure which system. Adding an identical value to McCanns prorated Steamer projection would render him roughly a 1.5-win player. Thats not well suited for a starting spot. Its sufficient, though, for any backup role and probably a noticable difference within the clubs other candidate for your same thing, Bryan Holaday.
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